The Risks and Rewards of Investing in Insurance
For a number of years, investing in the insurance sector was a (relatively speaking) safe bet in the stock market. While not paying huge dividends, investors tended to have confidence that their investments would grow; after all, insurance is entirely necessary for almost every business and individual, regardless of what is happening in the wider economy.
However, in recent years, a number of factors have seen some drops in profits, making investors question whether insurance stocks still hold the same low risk benefits as they did before.*
A guide to insurance wealth
Insurance companies make their money in two ways.
1) Insuring businesses and individuals for unforeseen events. The hope is that losses will not occur and then the insurance company will make a profit. This is the underwriting profit.
2) Money that is paid in by policyholders is known as a float, and insurance companies invest this float until it is needed to pay a claim. This is most usually invested in low-risk stocks and bonds. [i]
The risks
Insurance companies face a double risk at the moment. Firstly, world events over recent years have created an unstable environment for Underwriters to assess. Property and Casualty insurance has had an unprecedented number of claims. Secondly, the current economic downturn has meant that investments have not been as profitable as hoped.
Car insurance has probably been one of the worst hit sectors of the insurance industry. Since the end of the travel restrictions brought about by Covid, there have been an increased number of car accidents, pushing up the number of claims. At the same time, an increase in the cost of parts and labour means that cost per claim payout has been increasing. In 2022, the car insurance sector announced a net combined ratio (NCR) of 109.5% - the poorest figure in a decade. The NCR denotes the cost of claims as a percentage of premiums, with any number over 100% indicating a loss. It is likely that this year will also see a loss. While this is concerning, the professional services firm, EY, are anticipating that the strong focus on increasing premiums beyond inflation should see the losses steadying, with a NCR of 97.4% predicted in 2024. [ii]
House insurance has also had a difficult few years, with claims exceeding policy costs for three years running.[iii] Unfortunately, this sector of the market is affected greatly by unanticipated catastrophic events (CAT events). In the UK, the industry faces extreme weather events such as flooding, while abroad there are devastating events that can cause property loss over very large areas at a time. While a proportion of extreme weather events are expected and are built into underwriting costs, huge one-off CAT events are different and cannot always be accounted for.
Has there been growth?
Although insurance stocks are at the mercy of inflation and increased claims, there are still many reasons that people choose to invest, with some sectors of the insurance industry remaining very profitable. For example, many insurers offering cyber insurance have seen a huge increase in profits. Cyber insurance is predicted to continue to grow.
There is also a growth in sales of health insurance, as some people have concerns around accessing public health care in a timely manner and are looking to private health care as a potential resolution. Aviva saw a 58% increase in revenue for private healthcare insurance during the first half of 2023.[iv]
A number of insurance companies are doing especially well, with Prudential receiving a special mention from Richard Hunter of Interactive Investor. He points out that though London Based, Prudential’s operations in the growing economies of Asia and Africa offer great potential. [v]
For greater prospective rewards (although also greater risks) some people are considering an investment in InsurTech.[vi] InsurTech firms are at the forefront of cutting-edge technological innovation within insurance and therefore, investing in the right InsurTech at the right time could pay out handsomely.
A safe bet for financial rewards?
Insurance continues to be a legal obligation and financial necessity for almost every business and individual in the developed world, so as such, growth would seem to be inevitable. However, as with all stocks, there is no such thing as a safe bet – there will always be peaks and troughs and now in particular, with the world facing many CAT events and economic turmoil, we are reminded that no investment promises a certainty of growth. At the same time, there are many areas of insurance with scope for expansion. Investments need to be carefully considered under advice from professionals and – as with any financial investment – investors need to remain aware that stocks can go down in value as well as up.
*None of the information within this article constitutes financial advice. At Aston Charles, we always recommend regularly discussing your investment portfolio with a qualified Financial Advisor.
[i] Boyrazian, Z. (2023) Top Insurance Stocks in the UK. https://www.fool.co.uk/investing-basics/market-sectors/investing-in-insurance-stocks-in-the-uk/#heading_0 (Accessed: November 5, 2023).
[ii] Wise, H. (2023) Are insurance stocks worth a punt despite a challenging backdrop? https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-12619111/Are-insurance-stocks-worth-punt-despite-challenging-backdrop.html (Accessed: November 5, 2023).
[iii] Wise, H. (2023) Are insurance stocks worth a punt despite a challenging backdrop? https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-12619111/Are-insurance-stocks-worth-punt-despite-challenging-backdrop.html (Accessed: November 5, 2023).
[iv] Wise, H. (2023) Are insurance stocks worth a punt despite a challenging backdrop? https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-12619111/Are-insurance-stocks-worth-punt-despite-challenging-backdrop.html (Accessed: November 5, 2023).
[v] Wise, H. (2023) Are insurance stocks worth a punt despite a challenging backdrop? https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-12619111/Are-insurance-stocks-worth-punt-despite-challenging-backdrop.html (Accessed: November 5, 2023).
[vi] Symington, S. (2022) The 10 Best Insurance Stocks to Buy Right Now. https://www.thestreet.com/topics/stock/top-rated-equity-insurance (Accessed: November 7, 2023).